Document Type : Articles
Authors
1 a:1:{s:5:"en_US";s:46:"College . of Agricultural Engineering Sciences";}
2 Department of Agricultural Economics, College . of Agricultural Engineering Sciences, University of Baghdad
3 Administrative Deputy Ministry of Agriculture, Iraq
Abstract
The study aimed to identify the essential climatic factors that significantly affect the financial returns of wheat production from 2000 to 2022 to draw up a clear agricultural policy to confront these changes. It was estimated using the ARDL model to explain the correlation between the dependent variable (revenues) and the independent variables temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity. And wind speed. The research reached several conclusions, the most important of which is that 96% of the observed fluctuations in the dependent variable can be attributed to the explanatory variables included in the model. The remaining 4% of fluctuations are due to other variables not included in the model and are absorbed by the random variable. The results showed a positive, significant relationship between average rainfall and wheat yields and a significant inverse relationship between temperature, relative humidity, and average wind speed on wheat yields. The study suggested the necessity of cultivating high-yielding varieties that are resistant to climate change and suitable for the Iraqi environment. In addition, she stressed the importance of investing in renewable energy sources that can support agricultural activities, mitigate the effects of climate change, and enhance crop productivity.
)